Channel 4 TV races

You will find my likes for todays channel 4 races here

http://www.picksfromthepaddock.co.uk/#!racing-headline-1/cqkn

Good luck and have a great weekend

P

July 13th

HQ
Time	1st choice	odds	2nd choice	0dds	longshot	odds	Runners
14:05	stepping ahead	8/1	jammy guest	7/1			9
14:40	Noble Metal	9/1			Rosso Corsa	16/1	8
15:15	george guru	16/1	excellent guest	14/1	es ques love	8/1	20
15:50	gale force ten	4/1	sole power	7/1			12
16:25	sacha park	2/1					3
17:00	al baz	9/2					5
17:35	blue wave	14/1					10
1pt level stakes	win only odds -5's		5 or above e/w		Profit / Loss

York
Time	1st choice	Odds	2nd choice	Odds	longshot	Odds	Runners
13:55	lord aeryn	16/1	the rectifier	10/1			15
14:20					number theory	14/1	8
14:55	area fifty one	20/1	saptapadi	16/1	fennel bay	25/1	20
15:30	my propellar	10/1					9
16:05	bahemian C	7/4	song of rowland	8/1 3rd			10
16:40	herostatus	11/1	all the aces	16/1	eagle rock	10/1	14
17:15	searchlight	9/2					5
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's		4 or above e/w		Profit / Loss

June 29th

HQ
Time	1st choice	Result	2nd choice	Result	longshot	Result	Runners
14:20	hoke	8th	lady lydia	10th			11
14:55	harris tweed	3rd					4
15:30	producer	1st 3/1	red jazz	2nd 9/1	cocozza	9th	9
16:05	forgotten hero	9th	resurge	11th			11
16:35	jeromos**	9th	squire**	8th			10
17:05	princess caetani	4th					6
17:35	forgive	2nd 11/1					6
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's		4 or above e/w		Profit / Loss

Newcastle
Time	1st choice	Result	2nd choice	Result	longshot	Result	Runners
14:05	majestic myles	4th	justineo	5th			7
14:40	powerful presence	12th			rodrigo de torres	3rd 33/1	16
15:15	ingleby spirit	16th	blue bajan	9th	good morning star	18th	18
15:50	trail blaze	3rd 8/1	able master	6th			11
16:25					imshivalla**	7th	10
16:50	right step	10th	suffice	5th			10
17:20					winged icarus	5th	7
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's		4 or above e/w		Profit / Loss

June 15th

Sandown
Time	1st choice	Odds	2nd choice	odds	longshot	Odds	Runners
13:50	salutation	12/1 2nd	Rogue Nuage	18/1 3rd			9
14:20	gaul wood	14/1 3rd	weapon of choise	20/1 10th	Bancnuanaheireann	11/1 9th	17
14:55	dominate	11/1 5th			lady phil	28/1 8th	10
15:30	sandfrankskipsgo	12/1 9th	ryan style	25/1 N/R			11
16:05					lancelot du lac	10/1 12th	14
16:35	fav 1st 5/6						7
17:05	the bull hayes	16/1 5th			saborido	25/2 3rd	13
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's		4 or above e/w		Profit / Loss

York
Time	1st choice	Odds	2nd choice	Odds	longshot	Odds	Runners
14:05	eagle rock	14/1 6th			easy terms	11/1 10th	17
14:40	westwiththenight	4/1f 7th	maven	8/1 3rd	silvery moon	25/1 2nd	14
15:15	stipulate	4/1 3rd					8
15:50	heavens guest	8/1 4th	chilworth icon	16/1 13th	hassopop	10/1 6th	19
16:20	act your shoesize	14/1 16th	sunnybridge boy	16/1 19th	assizes	25/1 6th	20
16:50							15
17:20	baby strange	9/1 N/R	azurra di caprio	16/1 18th	showboating	20/1 9th	20
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's		4 or above e/w		Profit / Loss

June 9th

Few likes for today may have a bad day as had a good one yesterday so tread careful........
for those who are unaware ** is a race with newbies selections are based on any runs (if any) and trainer jockey stats for those particular races.

Good Luck if you follow

Perth
Time	1st choice	Odds	2nd choice	Odds	longshot	Odds	Runners
14:30	border pheonix	1st 11/2 +4.44			tims approach	6th	7
15:00	premier sagas	5th			degas art	6th	7
15:30	sleep in first	4th			early applause	2nd 16/1	9
16:00	takaatuf	4th					6
16:30	simarian	UR	garleton	PU			13
17:00	andreo bambelero	4th	dj milan	7th			14
17:30**	knockturnal	6th					7
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's	-1.5	4 or above e/w	-2	Profit / Loss	+.5	-3

Notts
Time	1st choice	Odds	2nd choice	Odds	longshot	Odds	Runners
14:15 **	grandad chunk	5th					7
14:45	taste the wine	2nd 7/1 1.38	Blazing desert	3rd 25/1 D-4th	sedgewick	6th	9
15:15	tregereth	8th	La Sylph	9th	Rat Catcher	7th	13
15:45	last sovereign	5th	tax free	2nd 16/1 2.5	first in command	8th	9
16:15 **	Dawn of Empire	4th	loved one	5th			13
16:45	xclusive	10th			impecability	5th	13
17:15	yourinthewill	10th	seldom	5th			10
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's	-6	4 or above e/w	-1.5	Profit / Loss	-4	-11.5

June 8th 2013

As always my likes for some e/w value hope for a few winners be lucky and play to level stakes.

HQ
Time	1st choice	Result	2nd choice	Result	longshot	Result	Runners
14:20	nabucco	2nd 6/1 +1.25			halfsin	8th -1	9
14:55	secret witness	14th -1			mezzotint	3rd 25/1 +3.62	14
15:30	suegioo	8th -1	handsome man	2nd 6/1 +1.25			11
16:05	hidden belief	7th -1	persian patriot	5th -1	erins grace & grapes hill	14th & 11th -2	16
16:40	monsieur rieussec	1st 7/1 +5.38			minimee	N/R	10
17:15	dark ranger	2nd 7/1 +1.38	mica mika	6th -1			9
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's	+5.00	4 or above e/w	-0,75	Profit / Loss	0.62	4.87

Haydock
Time	1st choice	Result	2nd choice	Result	longshot	Result	Runners
14:05	Da Rigueur	1st 8/1 +6	Dvinsky	12th	Theology & Tappanappa	9th & 7th	15
14:40	Souviens Toi	4th	Jehannedarc		Moment in time	1st 8/1 +6	7
15:15	pastoral player	2nd 11/4			amarillo	1st 10/1 +7.25	8
15:50	pleine forme	7th	city girl	8th			8
16:25	clancy avenue	8th					8
17:00	robot boy	2nd 6/1 +1.25			archie stevens	9th	10
17:35	double discount	1st 13/8 +2.62					4
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's	4.87	4 or above e/w	-3	Profit / Loss	10.25	12.12

BASED ON GOOD TO FIRM GOING (PLEASE BE CAREFUL IF THE GOING CHANGES ON ANY COURSE)

WHERE THERE ARE TWO SELECTIONS - 1ST CHOICE FOLLOWED BY NB
** = NEWBIE RACES WATCH RATHER THAN BET

LEICESTER

2.00 BRONZE BEAU 1st 11/2 / SWENDAB 6th
2.30 RAGING BEAR 3rd 5/1 / HANDSOME STRANGER 7th
3.00 SKYTRAIN 7th / MYSTICAL MOMENT 5th
3.30 EASY DOES IT 5th
4.00 EXCELS BEAUTY** 2nd 7/1
4.30 BOUNTY HUNTER** 5th
5.00 ASTRUM 4th
5.35 JD ROCKERFELLER 6th/ SWEET ALABAMA 4th

REDCAR

2.10 KIRTLING BELLE** 5th
2.40 AZREAL 3rd 7/1 / THROWING ROSES N/R
3.10 JOHNNY LESTERS HAIR 7th / HOT ROD MAMMA 5th
3.40 THIS IS ME (LONGSHOT) 6th
4.10 WILLBEME 8th / CHUNKY DIAMOND 11th
4.40 ANNIE GOGH 6th / RANGI 2nd 12/1
5.10 QUEENS PRINCESS 14th

pickspaddocks blog April 27th

Hi all I made the error of leaving a few alone yesterday due to not having ran for over 100+ days missing out on three very nice winners due to that! one of which was 33/1 therefore today if I like them I will give them a mention no matter how long it is since they have had a run, we head to Sandown for the 14:05 for our first race to solve 19f class 2 competitive race to say the least! Minella Fortfitness is the current market fav with a decent hatrick of wins behind him I think I've found a few to take him on with considering last time he won his weight was 10.3 and today carries 11.11 placed previously carrying 11.8 over 16f, to carry that weight over the extra distance is a big ask to say the least either he will zoom home anyway and prove me very wrong or will weaken under pressure during the last 2 furlongs as I suspect he will, one that interests me is Black Thunder this horse was travelling really well when unfortunately falling at Cheltenham back in March, the Nicholls runner has placed here previously the distance will be no issue and the going ideal being 2nd in a class 2 over 21f carring 11.11 harrys 5lb claim most definitely brings him into play. Berbatos will appreciate the drop in trip from LTO grandads horse will have needed the last run but seems to want good to firm ground, I love Vendor and the king / hutch combo but feel this is a prep race for a later entry, stopped out did well to finish 5th on unsuitable ground LTO the going will be more suited here not experienced at the course however the track should suit and and seems an e/w opportunity, quaddick lake is worthy of a mention running well when not getting a clear run ending up trapped between runners and put off from going into top gear 10 days ago this may be a race a little too soon, Garynella is also worth watching. 

Sandown 2.05 

E/W BLACK THUNDER 

E/W BERBATOS

So now we head to Ripon for a stiff 1 mile class 3 contest on good ground, Dubai Dynamo is in fantastic form being a CD horse has to be a player although high in the weights more of an E/W then a winner, xilerator has never won over a mile he's a 7f runner so one to discount, Fahey's yard is in decent form and his runner Lord Aeryn has conditions to suit who runs well fresh certainly should be up in front, looking at the rest of the field theres a few that raise the eyebrow with a "possibility" and more that you think erm no, Jo'Burg is one of those who have not had a recent run but still seems way overpriced David's yard is coming into form and with conditions that suit and a decent jockey onboard has made it to my shortlist.

Ripon 2.20

E/W Lord Aeryn

E/W Jo'Burg

Now heading back to Sandown for a clash of class we have Sanctuaire hoping to reclaim the crown he did here last yr yayyyyyyyyy you all say, WAIT I say Sanctuaire wants soft ground rain is forecast so if it does goes soft then go ahead and back him by all means, but if the ground stays good then leave alone, wishful thinking's price is way to short at the minute with some classier sorts in here and has certainly never ran well at the course, two catch my eye and they are two veterans both being aged 10, Finnians rainbow has raced alongside frankel and will appreciate the drop in trip to last time, Tanks for that the other Henderson runner is the other who catches my eye, ticking a lot of boxes runs off a decent mark & weight, being honest this is a really competitive clash and half the field could win it, on the day it will be down to the jockey how the horse is ridden and if they can get a clear run also take into account whether or not it rains or not. 

Sandown 2.40 

E/W TANKSFORTHAT

Back to Ripon we go for the 2.55 mashaari wants soft so one to watch if the going happens to change, based on good going those who have had a recent run Lexington bay is the one with the best form and class, lady kashan has to be proven over this distance at 4/1 is way to short for me to take a chance on, Dazinski is a CD runner but one who generally needs a few runs under his belt before coming in at a nice price, montaff another CD runner can run well fresh given the right conditions.

Ripon 2.55 

E/W LEXINGTON BAY

Back to Sandown now for a 1m 2f class 1 with the one to be on (assuming he's fit) Al Kazeem is class and will win on any going when fully fit, cecil and queally are deadly and Sir Henry knows what he's doing he would not run a horse if it was not fit enough but at such a short price one i'm happy to take on so long as all 8 run! Burano is classy and even though only running 9 days ago can go close again here under the skills of Mr Fortune.

Sandown 3.15 

E/W BURANO

And to the last of the 6 races today we stay at Sandown for the class 1 - 3m 5f long haul stamina testing contest with no fewer than 20 runners (as it stands now) who will stay ? Michel Le Bon has raced once over this distance PU over hvy unsuitable ground he has the class and stamina to stay, Balthazar King will definitely stay but has he recovered from the national yet has the break from that race to now given him long enough to regain that stamina that is a question which will be answered today and a price that is too big to ignore in my book, well refreshed is one to back if it rains, I love Galaxy Rock but he's never yet proven he is a stayer so one to dismiss, saint are is a decent horse proven to stay when finishing 9th in the national and again will the 3 week break be enough? Dovers Hill is a decent sort finishing 6th here last yr behind Tidal Bay when the ground went against having not ran since the break could be a concern, Quentin Collenges is ticking a lot of boxes amongst many of the others who time and time again have failed to prove they will stay,

Sandown 3.50

E/W MICHEL LE BON

E/W QUENTIN COLLENGES

E/W BALTHAZAR KING

E/W RAINBOW HUNTER

Sunday 21st April

Newcastle

14:20 Lord Wishes F / Swingbridge 2nd 25/1

14:50 Forty Crown 4th / Maggie Blue 13th

15:20 Nowurhurlin 3rd

15:50 Cadore 7th

16:20 Luctor Emergo 4th / Highland love 5th

16:50 Beneficial Reform  PU /  Call Me Muilligan 4th

17:20 mandarin sunset 9th / billeracy allstar N/R

17:50 Bellgrove 6th


Stratford

14:00 Landscape 3rd 13/8  /  cowbridge  7th

14:30 Sentimental Journey 1st 7/2 / pretty penny 4th

15:00 wishes and stars 4th

15:30 Representingceltic 3rd

16:00 Zippit 4th

16:30 in the crowd 5th

17:00 rumbavu 3rd 9/2 / hurrican carter N/R

Saturday April 20th

Hi All

Just a few selections for today lets hope for a few winners I will be doing my usual
frankenstien 8 horses daft 10p e/w 8fold from a selection on here.

Ayr
13.30 Trucking Along   2nd 7/1 /   Jacks Grey N/R

14.05 Tap Night   2nd 6/4 /   Aibrean N/R

14:40 Semetegal  2nd 7/2

15.15 his excellency  2nd 9/1 / oh crick 4th

15.50 godsmejudge 1st 12/1 / Rival D'estruval PU / master marker 2nd 25/1 / rigaden de beauchene PU / captain americo. PU

16.25 Green Flag 2nd 7/2

17.00 Fentara 2nd 7/1

17:35 Meadowcroft Boy 1st  12/1

Newbury 

13.15 Commitment 13th / Robin Hood also looks a big price  5th

13:50 love them all................ Especially like Noble Mission 3rd 5/4 but I like Allied Powers 5th chances at a tasty price even with the ominous Frank onboard.

2.20 guest of honour 2nd 16/1

2.55 Desert Image 7th

Results are SP some prices were a fair bit bigger when posting!

my selections for today April Sunday 14th

Choose you own stakes e/w or win depending on odds available 

FFos Las

Seskinane N/R

Only Witness 2nd 15/8

Sir Mattie 1st 6/1

Maringo Bay F

Siberian Tiger 5th / Mics Delight? 4th

Pliny NR

Tinker Time 2nd 12/1

Market Rasen

Pobs Trophy 4th

Intent NR

around a pound 1st 6/1
rose of the moon NR

be my deputy 1st 7/2

resourceful miss 6th

Wincanton

Suerte Al Salto 1st 8/13 / mount gunnery 3rd 5/1 / voltchesko 9th

balderdash PU / king caractacus NR

somerby 4th

massena 4th

qualviro 3rd 10/1 / sparrow hills 6th

regal d'estruval 4th

leaving the last 2 due to unknown newbies!! 

The Big One

Ok peeps we arrive at day 3 of Aintree I've not had the amount of winners I would like but just about staying in front profit wise thankfully so here are my thoughts on today!! Will post my likes for all races except the national where you get a run down of horse by horse and my top 6 to place due to BetVictor paying up for the first six home ;)  Best of luck everyone lets hope for a great days racing!!

13:45 Eduard  4th

14:15 Sire De Grugy  4th (Special Tiara won 28/1 put on twitter)

14:50 African Gold 5th & Hollywell 2nd 9/1

15:25 Battle Group 1st 7/2 & Cannington Brook  PU(also Ikarodu Road 8th & Ballyoliver 9th are overpriced)

16:15 THE BIG ONE!!

Imperial Commander love this horse but his age and weight may go against him today, impressive when 2nd to Cape LTO but Capes not done so well since then so will leave him out of the shortlist.

What A Friend PU in 2011 not one for stamina although going conditions will suit.

Weird Al Struggling when fell last year lovely horse but not one for today

Quel Esprit Mullins will be itching for a winner after losing by a nose over in Ire will aprreciate the going if takes to the course and stays will be in with a chance but a big IF

Big Fella Thanks Does ok round here will like the good to soft ground unlucky last yr to UR record in last previous to that 6 / 4 / 7 now with 3rd new trainer looked good so far could be in the places.

Seabass 3rd last year at 10,12 the extra weight at 11,6 for today IMO will be a struggle

Roberto Goldback A trainer jockey combination I love A LOT ran once here before didnt seem to like the course when beaten by follow the plan, not one that makes it to my shortlist.

SunnyhillBoy 2nd here last year likely stayer but has not shown much progression in the two races he's had since then happy to strike him off

Ballabriggs won in 2011 on good ground carrying 11.00 off a mark of 150 today carrying 11.4 off a 152 mark not one to be up front again IMO

TEAFORTHREE Ticks a lot of boxes struggled LTO due to weights a hvy going, will appreciate better ground if takes to the course has a decent chance. (Shortlisted)

Across the Bay   Strong contender if stays the trip raced here on 3 occasions placing each time, going will suit makes it to the shortlist.

Join Together Some good form at course and on going, will be a stamina test especially at weights first time over this distance watching brief for him today.

Colbert Station Decent enough jumper and had some promising races trends state not enough chase races run for this & with ?'s over course and trip big there's a big IF

ForPadyDePlasterer Nice jumper and done well here on good to soft again ?'s over whether a stayer could be in contention for a place if he stays, having had a pre-run back at the beggining of last month to blow some cobwebs away.

On His Own Being his 8th chase races trends say no F last yr which also goes against.

Joncol Trends / stats have him up there however better form on softer ground goes against todays conditons,

BALTHAZAR KING Definate stayer and worthy contender if takes to the course ground weights e,t,c all tick boxes (shortlisted)

Cappa Bleu 10TH CHASE RACE TODAY classy jumper stands a chance of placing at least after being 4th last yr on good ground the good to soft going being more suited to him, fits the bill in the weights

Oscar Time 2nd to Ballabriggs 2 years ago been racing on unsuitable ground since, back down to the same mark as 2011 on a going that suits could be a big price contender with one of the courses best jockeys onboard (longshot chance)

Always Waining  PU in 2009 carrying 11.8 but did stay on till the last carrying that weight drop in weights today is a plus likes the course will appreciate the going had a few races to get going could be IWAC

Tatenan UR last yr and not shown much promise since, going will suit but thats about it not one I'd have in my top ten (so will probably go on to win!!)

TREACLE Impressive on boggy ground over 3m 2f LTO tells me he's a stayer hampered and fell here last year, possibility only 3 weeks since last run is a big ask, one to watch for inplay betting.

Lost Glory fits some trend stats but due to not having a race since last October will probably need to run and a big ask for first race after a break.

Swing Bill 4 races here during career not done well in any of them.  Not one for todays race IMO

Saint Are Does well in chases but seems not to be a stayer given performances at chelt no stamina shown. appears to prefer good ground.

Chicago Grey BD early in last years race a stayer and competative at the weights, definate place contender

Quiscover Fontaine As with the other mullins outsider a watching brief for inplay betting, could go well if takes to the track having never been given the chance to prove himself when F last yr.

Rare Bob Not a stayer from form shown so far decent mark and weights but a trip to far IMO.

The Rainbow Hunter Prominant chaser and definate place chances if takes to course and stays the distance. fits a lot of trends and age, weights all get a tick decent jockey onboard to help him round.

Because I Could'nt See UR last yr F the year previous to that he's not the best jumper and one to easily dismiss.

Harry The Viking Started of career looking very promising then had a disappointing 4 runs in the last year, stamina & jumping concerns.

Mr Moonshine Really like Sues yard although she's not been doing to well as of late, and her best stable jockey is on her other runner, easy to strike off no stamina form but will appreciate the going could sneak a place if gets lucky.

Mumbles Head Decent horse however not the most fluent of jumpers which can be his downfall easy to discount.

Ninetieth Minute Taffe loves a winner and he has a decent horse with this one, if he takes to the fences and course could be IWAC

Auroras Encore Won the John Smiths Chase back in 2008 at 50/1 definate stayer and decent jumper, first attempt at the National conditions will suit could run well at a nice price. WINNER 66/1

Tarquinas Appreciates softer ground big ask to get round today.

Any Currency Another horse I like a lot will stay if in the mood jumping can let him down at times but places chances at a big price.

Major Malarky Staying wont be an issue with him can be an untidy jumper at times but if takes to the course could do well at a price with conditions to suit.

SOLL lightly raced a big ask here but a decent horse place claims if stays and takes to the course.

VIKING BLOND As I recall I was on him last yr when he fell at the first! jumping has improved since then, will appreciate the going has a lot to prove but could be in the mix.

Ok so to summarise you want a runner either that's held up in the back or up in front who will stay in front, the trick is not to get caught up in the middle and closed in by other runners! they need room to jump and be able to jump well, however much I would love to see Imperial Commander win my heads telling me to leave him alone and just hope he gets home safe, as with all the other horses and riders today,  So I said I'd narrow it to my final 6 with a fair few In With A Chance runners and a couple of decent longshots (for place chances) there HAS been a bit of  Eeenie Meenie Miini Mo and a bit more narrowing down to get to these

TEA FOR THREE 3rd 10/1
BALTHAZAR KING 15th
CHICAGO GREY PU
ACROSS THE BAY 14th
OSCAR TIME 4th 80/1
CAPPA BLEU 2nd 12/1

17:10 Meganisi  2nd 22/1

17:45 Vago Collenges 2nd 14/1

Aintree

Aintree
Time	1st choice	SP Results	2nd choice	SP results	Runners
14:00	Vascoe Du Ronceray		L'Unique		10
14:30	Cape Tribulation		The Giant Bolster		8
15:05	Grandouet		Countrywide Flame		9
15:40	Cottage Oak		Keenans Future		25
16:15	Stagecoach Pearl		Silver Roque		18
16:50	Changing Times				8
17:25	Jetson		Many Clouds		22
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's	4 or above e/w		Profit / Loss

Tuesday 2nd April

KEMPTON	1pt level stakes	win only odds -5's	6 or above e/w
Time	1st choice		2nd choice		Runners
14:00	Cane Cat	9th			13
17:00	Homeward Strut	3rd 11/4	SteelCut	4th	11
Exeter
14:10	Royal Mile	5th			8
14:40	Henrys King	F			15
15:10	Global Warming	PU			17
16:10	Party Pictures	2nd 66/1			9
		2,25		Profit / Loss	+1,25

Easter Monday

Fairy House	.5pt e/w if 6/1 +
Time	1st choice		2nd choice		Runners
14:40	Zaidpour	2nd	Si C'etait Vrai	3rd	7
15:10	Free to Dream	5th	Unoccupied	15th	19
15:40	Mallowney	F			6
16:10	Akorakor	1st 7/2	Fairy Island	4th	10
16:50	Rapidolyte De Ladalka	11th	Paddy Pub	PU	30
17:25	castle wings	6th	Kelpht	3rd 7/1	10
17:55	Clasnabrook	9th	Sea Master	2nd 8/1	13
18:25	FredsMemory	6th			7
1pt level stakes		-3.5		-3.25

Easter Sunday

Musselburgh
Time	1st choice		2nd choice		Runners
14:20	Titus Bolt	2nd			12
14:50	Goneinadodat	7th	Keep It Dark	2nd 16/1	12
15:20	Lightening Launch	1st 9/4	Rawaafed		9
15:50	Los Nadis	8th			12
16:20	Hell Hath No Fury	4th			5
16:55	Danehill Flyer	4th			10
17:25	Alpha Tauri	8th			8
1pt level stakes		-6.75		0.5
Plumpton
Time	1st choice		2nd choice		Runners
14:30	Bebinn	3rd			8
15:00	Red Anchor	4th			7
15:30	Weston Lodge	PU	Tchang Goon	4th	7
16:00	Hi Note	4th	Act of Kalanisi	7th	12
16:35	somchine	4th	breaking bits	2nd 6/1	14
17:05	Poppy Greg	4th			6
17:35	Laughton Park	1st 22/1	Southway Queen		14
1pt level stakes		15		-3.75

Doncaster 30th March

Hi Everyone hope your all having a relaxing Easter break with being off work and no UK racing Good Friday I've had plenty of time to study the cards, hopefully it will be time well spent and we get a few nice winners.

Today I will be covering the racing at Doncaster the official start of the flat season race running a week behind due to the abnormal weather we have encountered lately, one word of caution to you all, in sprint races with large fields of runners it's so easy to pick the one with the best form however there is always the risk of them being boxed in and not being able to get the room they need to go full throttle, it takes a skilful rider to ensure his / her mount is placed in a position which is beneficial to the pace of the race. There are a lot of horses I love and follow racing against each other today I've had to be totally brutal when selecting, sometimes you have to say to yourself no matter how much I admire and love that horse today is not his/her day.

Doncaster 13:20 6f going forecast soft – (possible better side of soft) Class 2

So having read through the form of the runners again, and again & again! My views for the first race Colonel Mak won this last yr and runs again today from the same draw no'15 with the same rider and a 5lb claim which would take his weights to 8-13 he won at Hamilton last July carrying the same weight over the same distance in the same class, he won this last yr on good going carrying 9-5 with the jockeys same 5lb claim as he does today he has won on good and soft so surely he stands another chance today yes? No!! normally I'd be snapping up the price of a horse like this yet there is a difference here, last yr he had a few runs before competing to win here, he needs a few runs to shake cobwebs not being a horse that runs well fresh he's never placed after a 60 day break so this time I will give him a wide birth having not had a race since last November.

Jamaican Bolt is one I love and one I've been brutal with! he's priced at around 8's which I think is pretty ludicrous considering this is his first attempt over this distance Pivotal or not he would be a watching brief for me, Spinatrix runs well fresh predominantly a class 3 horse the step up in class puts me off the win for him, although could well sneak a place given the amount of runners who do not run well fresh racing against him, Thunderball appeals greatly he loves it round here runs well on most goings when fit enough, he's had a few races and did well LTO only weakening during the final furlong in a 7f race back down to a trip that suits, the yards doing well and what better way to start off the Doncaster card with a Doncaster Racing Club winner he's priced around 14's currently and certainly one who I shall personally be having a dabble at, Alejandro is another who's caught my eye unplaced throughout 2012 having raced over 7f now back down to a trip that suits

Doncaster 13.20

Both E/W

Thunderball

Spinatrix

Doncaster 13.55 1m class 2

Well first thing for me to say is I've pondered over this race for hours!! and it's not often you hear someone like myself or even admit but this race has me stumped, there are runners I think well their price is way to big and other's that I think that's a bit short, a class 2 race where the majority of runners have only ever raced in class 3, 4 or 5 is certainly one to puzzle over My Boy Alfie is a runner I like he's only once raced in a class 2 back here in November over 7f he did not tire he was staying on just unfortunate he didnt get close enough beaten by 2 ¾ lengths to finish 5^th in a field of 20 runners, he's a miler the trip will suit he's competitive in this class and will love the soft ground. Las Verglas Star is one of the few who have raced in a fair few class 2 races having had a race to clear some cobwebs should be up in the mix of the finalists currently priced around 25's way to high IMO George may not be the best jockey in the world but he does have a 7lb claim and if Verglas wants to run to win he will no matter who's riding him & he appeared fit enough LTO, Patriotic is a decent  sort and this will be his first Class 2 race so one to watch, Barren Brook loves the course has placed on soft but seems to prefer better ground, extraterrestrial is a classy horse but will no doubt need the run having never placed after a 60 day break, Docofthebay has been doing well so could well end up in the places, satanic beat runs well fresh and conditions here should suit, Ocean Tempest was extremely impressive when last seen back in July 2012 at Newmarket winning gracefully on boggy ground there are a few ? Around the course and whether he will run well fresh in a race that suits but still way overpriced IMO, so out of the minefield of a race who am I going for you ask! Well let me tell you the 3 I've decided on after numerous amounts of head scratching.

Doncaster 13:55 e/w chances

My Boy Alfie

Las Verglas Star

Satanic Beat

Doncaster 14:30

Love this race along with most of the runners there's those who have returned from their overseas travels it will be great seeing them race back on home turf, Humidor has to be my fav of the lot but has a ? how he does on soft ground, Hitchens tends not to do so good on soft however classy he is and his price reflects that, confessionals wins have all been over 5f where regal parade and our Johnathan both stand a chance on their best form and both will appreciate the soft going Our Johnathan also has Atzeni onboard which is always a plus in my book, yet Regal parade has the benefit of having a more recent run.

Doncaster 14:30 e/w

Our Johnathan

Doncaster 15:05 Will Hill Lincoln 1m Class 2

Studied for this race last week before it was called off due to snow so I already have a good idea who I'm opting for even more so with runners being confirmed Memory Cloth has had a decent run to get his gears going placing behind strictly Silver will come on for that run and definitely an e/w shout with trip and conditions to suit, swiftly done is also a classy horse who will like today's conditions who also runs well fresh, lahaaq along with a number of others are unknown how they will deal with the course, Bancnuanaheireann was running a decent enough race back in December when he became hampered however does not seem to like a soft going, levitate is back at his favoured course but may struggle against some classier types, Brea Hill wants better ground so his stablemate is given the advantage here when Justonefortheroad placed 4^th here back in 2011 on good ground, the softer going will suit and he's come on a lot since then and certainly should be up in the places with Luke giving a 7lb claim being a bonus. 

Doncaster 15.05

Memory Cloth

Swiftly Done

Justonefortheroad

Doncaster 15:40 1m 2f class 5

Little form to go on and a few “newbies” thrown into the mix of the form there is Helmsly Flyer seemed to want further on his last outing so may appreciate the longer trip at a price of currently 19/1 certainly worth an e/w chance in a tricky race

Doncaster 15:40

E/W

Helmsly Flyer

Doncaster 16:15 1m 2f Class 4

Amaze is currently market fav here and rightly so he is classy i'd be wary of backing him so short never been tried at the course and given the long break although has ran well fresh previously, Noguchi is unknown on the going, Askaud came 4^th here in a class 3 10f race last June he also has the benefit of a recent run and certainly a decent price at around 14/1 i'd be willing to take on the market fav's long absence runner Amaze with the inform Dixon yard. Perhaps a safer e/w option would be Eastern Destiny who will appreciate a lot of today's conditions and proven to run well fresh

Doncaster 16:15

E/W

Askaud

Eastern Destiny 

Todays thoughts

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Hi all today focus will be away from the TV races I will be looking for some value at Ayr and Chepstow will also be putting my likes into a placepot to see if we can all top up the banks for Cheltenham ;)

The first race I am hunting for a value winner is the 3:25 at Ayr And The Man is the forecast fav for the race who won here in a class 4 who do I oppose to the fav the horse in question has raced in class 2 races on hvy ground proven stamina may not be a distance winner but every horse has that chance of becoming one of those in the right race! You know yourself has won on good and good to soft he also placed 3rd on hvy going LTO which tells me this horse is classy enough to run well on any going this race is a drop in class and distance so he stands a most definate chance of getting in the top 3 given the jockey / trainer combo which has to be one of my fav's of all time they work well together and rightly so. I would also give an e/w chance to super ally who will appreciate the softer ground then the bog ran on lto and the drop in trip also with P1 which interests me

E/W 

You Know Yourself 

Super Ally

I shall stay at Ayr for now and hover over the whillans horse lady blue sky who placed a gallant 2nd in the last race a course winner who struggle very slightly on hvy ground the softer going will suit the current 12/1 is a huge price for a decent course horse Imo along with Mahkzoon who may well be stepping up a class but the drop in trip could well account for that ;)

E/W

Lady Blue Sky

Mahkzoon

The last leg of the pp is a 6 horse race so naturally you will go for the 1st or 2nd fav right? erm hell no read this ") Led, headed before 10th, mistake 13th, soon weakened, 6th of 9, 32l behind Nuts N Bolts (11-2) at Ayr 2m 4f hcp chs 0-140 (3) hvy in Feb." so this race is 2m I would be damn inclined to be on the 2nd fav and outsider of the race due to that reason alone!! 4f less not so heavy ground alexander trained and ridden horse seems to be race fit i will take a bit of 12/1 thank you very much 

E/W

Rossini Dancer

I've decided to go for the first race at Chepstow next a tricky one to solve but hoping I can help point out a few to get the PP up to the 2nd leg at least maiden hurdles are always a nightmare to try and solve but I've studied the race for about an hour now and keep coming back to the same 2 horses. O Brians runner Perfect Candidate came 3rd on hvy going in a class 3 over this distance, the drop in class will surely put him in a decent chance of placing again in the top 3 the other which catches my eye is the Hobbs runner Nutin Fancy who has placed on hvy each time he has run at this course, with the ging being not so bog like may well just get his nose to the front for once, gets another point the because jockey takes off 3 lbs and although not one of my preferred riders he does do well round Chepstow

E/W

Perfect Candidate

Nutin Fancy

Chepstow 3.05 Maurice the athlete would be my choice of value here who loves it round this course the distance going & weights with the jockeys 7lb claim all tick a lot of boxes the last race can be excused given that race was a class 2 on desperate ground,  Sarando is one I follow who will have had the few runs needed to clear away some cobwebs shown in his last race when not being disgraced placing 4th in a class 3 at Bangor Lukes ridden him a fair few times and won on him previously so knows him well enough the pt being fitted also tends to be fitted when placing or winning so will take a chance that he will like it round the course having never raced here before.

E/W

Mauricetheathlete

Sarando

My last race to cover will head to the last race at Chepstow where Massini sunset seems a safe e/w bet and can hopefully end with a winner loves it round here has the blinkers on Tom takes off 3 lb's only raced 12 days ago but that shouldnt be an issue he will win on any going when he's right and imo he will be placed, Somerby from Saddlers Wells (love this breed) and Derwen Pryde are also ones I have been following for a while who also stand decent chances its a close one to call to be fair i'd be inclined to back all 3 e/w prices allowing

E/W

Massini Sunset

Derwen Pryde

Hope you have a great day all. 

The roar of Cheltenham is almost upon us :)

Saturday March 2nd

Hello and welcome to Saturdays TV racing previews, I hope you are all well, navigating around the new look website with ease  & like how it looks, I think the team have done a great job well done :)

So without further delay let me proceed with my thoughts on Saturdays racing to be aired on CH4 Newbury: 

I will cover the three races over at Newbury firstly followed by three at Doncaster 2.05, 2.40, 3.15 and 3.50. Doncaster: 2.20, 2.55 and 3.30.

Newbury 2:05

The going here is good to soft we have some very classy runners out today with Cheltenham drawing close the NH racing is getting very exciting indeed! the first of todays races is a great example of a decent class 3 race we have top yards and smaller yards all of which no matter how big or small have some very classy horses in their yards, there are a few that interest me in this race even before reading any form, one of those is an old fav of mine so its a race not to let the heart rule the head and ensure those with the best chance of winning are selected rather than those who I would like to see win. who would I want to see win before reading any form you may well ask, the answer to that is simple none other than the class on the grass who runs for the Twiston Davis yard none other than Kayf Aramis, this is one classy animal even at the age of 11 he could show some of these a thing or two around at Chelts, he has changed yards a few times during his career winning gracefully for Mr Spearing & Ms Williams he has been with Nigel since 2009 never yet winning a race for him but placing at some very decent e/w odds, why am I rambling on about him you might ask, A) I would love to see him win and B) I know factually he will appreciate the going and the trip, but I shall cast him to the back of my mind whilst I review the other 11 runners competing with him today,  Monetary Fund has won twice over this distance in a class 3 once on soft once on good he runs well when fit enough his last race was a tad disappointing weakening a few furlongs out may well be a little to high in the weights for today's race, Ballytober will be ideal at the weights given the jockeys claim however tends to prefer running in a mud bath which I doubt he will get today, Pipe has two in this one water garden appears to take after his name preferring good to soft to soft from the races he has had so far, he was not disgraced although coming 6th lto considering he had not ran since June may well have needed that run to blow away some cobwebs being a class 2 race will also have been a little to high expectations for him considering he has only won a class 4 may well have place claims in today's race, both the Romford Pele & Buck Magic are horses I like a fair bit but I feel today's trip may be asking too much of them, Off The Ground may also find today's race a bit too tough although he has one of my fav jockeys onboard, Destroyer Deployed will appreciate being back on turf wearing blinkers for the first time which is interesting, Jonjo's runner is forecast to go off fav and rightly so winning twice over desperate ground has also won on good the step up in class will prove his worth or catch him out, Pipes other runner Bygones sovereign will appreciate being back on better ground after running in a swamp LTO, Iron Chancellor has plunged down in the weights will race better in today's conditions has placed in a class 3 over this course so may be one to side with for a place & cuban piece may well be running out of his depth, so who am I going to opt for do I get a lucky pin or do I put my case forward, I've already given a few clues perhaps with Water Garden he's a distance winner the 7lb claim of Thomas Bellamy is a plus the going is a plus and pipe knows how to ready a winner having cleared his cobwebs he has a decent chance at a nice price, I'm tempted to side with Iron Chancellor but will also side with my fav on form not ruled by heart at all Kayf Aramis was inform LTO the class oozes out of him and stands a very decent chance of placing given today's competition.

E/W

The Water Garden 7/1

Kayf Aramis 12/1

Newbury 2:40

We now head to a class 2 9 runner race 2f further than the last race with 4 course winners and 2 distance winners, most if not all of the runners have been running over desperate ground lately and some will appreciate the better going of today's race Hey Big Spender is definitely one of those his last 4 races have been on boggy ground and he's raced probably as he's needed a run and they have been the only races available to him, the drop in class will suit the distance will suit, he has won carrying this weight before so definitely one to keep on side, Michel Le Bon is interesting wearing blinkers first time, will also appreciate the better ground yet has to be tried with today's weights on his back, its a big ask for Idhara,  Tartak has not placed since winning at Cheltenham two years ago, if the course is on the better side of good to soft then Fortification will stand a decent chance, Sona Sasta would be the likely winner of the race IMO, Mortimers Cross currently around 10/1 is way to big a price IMO has definite place claims although never tried at the course, Desperate Dex should be there or thereabouts but too competative a race to back at such short odds, Posh Bird is another who has place claims who also seems a little too big of a price.

E/W

Hey Big Spender 

Mortimers Cross

Newbury 3:15

So we drop in trip to 2 miles and increase the runners to 14 for the final race at Newbury, looking at who's running before reading the form I'd opt for Meganisi who's won for me a few times but form studying I shall commence......... looking at current prices there are blues and reds all over the place so no one seems to be overly sure about who will be winning this race! 13 of the 14 runners are distance winners 3 of those are course winners, so who's turn will it be today all but one have raced recently who generally needs a run before getting into the places so Sonoran Sands goes to the bottom of my list, sporting boy and meetings man have not raced for 120 days Sporting Boy has raced here before finishing 5th although sports a better jockey today than that ride, of the two I would prefer meetings man who even though not racing here previously will appreciate a lot about today's race ticking a lot of boxes, I love Knight n purple but his better performances have all been on much better ground, The Betchworth kid does not appeal even with a 7lb claimer, Princely Player is the one who is not (YET) a D winner but he was not disgraced here back in December placing 5th over 19f on soft ground in a class 2 with the last race he had being able to write off due to desperate ground I'd be tempted to give him a chance here given the distance, going, weights and previously placing 2nd in a class 1 race around Kempton back in October off a higher mark then he is today, Tango De Juilley is appealing for Ms Williams and she does love to have a winner, All the Aces appeals also over a lot of things but I'm not opting for him today, Meganisi appeals even more after reading back through his form although I wish AP was onboard however I struck off a few last week due to the jockey so would be stupid to do the same again!! it's good to see A Bridge to Far back on turf and his price is too big at 16's IMO, Turn Over Silvola has to be one of my favourites for the King yard but today's competition is a bit to harsh for him IMO, Cry Of Freedom & the Pier both tick a lot of boxes & although from Cape Cross a decent bloodline I feel the step up might be too much to ask of Zafranagar.

E/W

Princely Player

Meganisi

The Pier

Doncaster 2:20

The first of three races being covered here today sees a smaller field of 7 runners for a 2 mile handicap chase (make that 6 runners I have just noted that Kings Grey will be a N/R) prince of dreams likes a bit of cut depending how good today's "good" going is I would be dubious about backing him at short odds, Toubab might struggle at the weights but does have Ruby onboard and will appreciate the good ground, laterley wins on any going when fit enough and was very unlucky when falling LTO he's a chaser and a hurdler so if his confidence is regained after that fall stands a decent chance, the bull hayes makes no appeal to me at all given his last races, Kudo Country appeals over the trip and going being decent enough at the weights to be in with a chance, Ulysses Collenges I really like who ticks a lot of boxes for today's races again its the "jockey factor" do you ignore it or do you not! I'd be more inclined to give Laterley a chance of not letting his fall LTO affect his performance for today's race.

E/W 

Laterley

Doncaster 2:55

We come to the Will Hill Grimthorpe Chase, that name sounds a bit Grim! oh what a competative little race this is, well not so little being 3m 2f long it may take a while for some to get round if they all complete the race before PU that is, I see Corkage is out along with another 3 from one of my notebooks (must not let heart rule head!) so who will like the distance? who will appreciate the better ground, and who likes it at Doncaster, Calgary Bay has raced 3 times here winning 2 & placing 2nd in those races, his form since racing the National last yr has been off and has a new yard the drop in class and coming back to a fav course may be what he needs and would be a decent price if showing some of that Doncaster form today, Join Together was just beaten by hello bud lto on hvy ground and has won on good ground, Mr Mooshine showed class when losing out to Cape Tribulation back in December in boggy conditions runs well on any going when fit, Ikodoru Road has won here over the distance and going but on a lower mark and lower weights then he carries today,  there s a ? over Corkage and the distance, Court by surprise is another to try this distance although does appeal at the weight, Billy Mcgearn ticks a fair few boxes who is most definitely a chaser who will appreciate the going the trip should not be an issue the only ? is how he will like the course having never raced here previously, Night in Milan loves it round here is certainly a contender with a decent e/w chance.  Daly & Tinkler is a combo I like Quentin Collenges would be in with a chance if improving on his last runs but the GN last year seems to have taken something out of him, lord Villez will appreciate the better ground he will either run well and then run out of steam or steam to the front and stay there! 

E/W

Calgary Bay

Night In Milan 

Doncaster  3.30 

And so we come to the last race I wil be covering for today so who stands out right away well if you have read my previous articles or you know me you you will know well enough that Aaim To Prosper is a horse I love a lot along with a few others running against him, His furthest race to date is 4f shorter then todays race he stayed on well enough LTO but when there is that unknown to back at short odds is ludicrous, Powerful Ambition keeps finding one to beat him and has yet to get his nose in front however at todays weights at course he ran well round LTO the going will be appreciated he seems a decent e/w chance, at the top end of the scale we have carruthers with a 7lb claimer on his back who has won over good ground and hvy boggy ground he's class all over and another who seems overly priced as the trip will be no issue, the ? with Carruthers will be the course having never raced here previously I'd still be tempted to give him a chance, Barafundle should be up in the mix but I feel may be a little too high in todys race, the Cockney Trucker appreciates shorter distance races so will be giving him a swerve toda although with AP onboard anything can happen, Possel PU LTO and if recovered from whatever was wrong is another who will be in with a decent chance, both Revelry's runners may need a few runs over this distance before getting their nose in front & Beyah will need to step up massively to be in with a chance as will the Fonz.

E/W

Carruthers 

Powerful Ambition

Good Luck to all today and have a great weekend

P

Thursday 28th February

KEMPTON
Time	1st choice		2nd choice		Runners
17:30	ILLUSTRIOUS LAD	5/1 4th			12
18:00	BRANDY SNAPPING	8/1 12th	DUBAI EMERALD	14/1 9th	14
18:30	SALLY BRUCE	8/1 7th			8
19:00	PERFECT MISSION	11/2 6th	HATTA STREAM	7/1 7th	9
19:30	TOPOLSKI	28/1 4th			8
20:00	LUV U WATEVA	5/1 5th	CEEKAYS GIRL	25/1 13th	14
20:30	HAWAIIAN FREEZE	8/1 10th			10
1pt level stakes	win only odds -4's	4 or above e/w		Profit / Loss	-10

Tomorrows article.

Hi All another nice win with Across the Bay last week let's see what I can find out in the field today :)

Races I will be covering are

Kempton 2.05

Not a race to have a huge bet in my opinion it's one of those where anything can win and most likely will.  L'Unique won impressively on both runs however they have been on soft ground so will be interesting to see how she goes on faster ground today, Irish Saint is another who has caught the eye and ran impressively again both of his races so far have been on hvy so it's another ? over the better ground and whatever happens will definately be a decent Cheltenham contender for the Nicholls team for future years to come (gold cup winner in the making maybe) Chris Pea Green has gone up 7lbs since his last run, Courtesy Call has not had a race since last September will appreciate the better ground and faster pace this is the heaviest he has carried though which could well slow him down a bit, Shardapour's races has not been very eye catching so far, Vascoe Du Ronceray would be my value shout currently around 11/4 has raced on better ground its a Henderson / Geraghty combination he has stamina proven from his Cheltenham race, he can run with the weight so worthy of being in the top 2 with Forsters Road although being more experienced will have to show some class to be in with a chance here

E/W  (if price allows)

Vasco Du Ronceray 

Kempton 2.40

This could quite easily be a double on the card for Henderson & Gareghty Molotov has ran well here on good ground he's a distance winner having won carrying this weight previously is currently the 6/4 fav and quite worthy of being so, both Theatre Guide and seem to be out of their depth class wise here although both their last runs were on desperate ground Grandioso is around 7/2 probably the Walsh factor as his wins and places have all ocured on soft ground, Miss Curtis is no fool and Packamecho stands a decent chance given past form however never tried around this course, Hendersons other runner the currant rank outsider!! has placed here so does well at the course, likes better ground he's got that today he came 2nd at Aintree 1 & 3/4 lengths behind Attaglance back in December on good ground in a class one at a price of 16/1 i'd be inclined to have him as an e/w and a henderson forecast.

E/W

Tour D'argent

Kempton 3,15

Brick Red likes soft ground so may struggle today to make a 4th win in a row, Black Spirit has never been raced over this distance, Fair trade will appreciate the going and trip yet has never done too well in higher class races, Figaro is another who may struggle in this class, Lac Fontana came 2nd in a class 3 on soft so my vote again has to be with the Henderson team (possibly a nice treble here)

with Forgotten Voice who has done well in higher grade races when with Jeremy Noseda and has done well for Henderson so far only struggling in a bog of heavy ground lto.

E/W

Forgotten Voice

Kempton 3.50

So we come to a race with double the runners of the first three marvellous my kind of race :) Qinz loves it round Kempton yet after such a long lay off and pulling up on the last 3 races he did run I would be very dubious about backing him today will be a watching brief with him for me, Wyck Hill is the market fav currently at 3/1 for AP runs well on any going when fit enough yet the 2 races he has had at kempton to date have not gone so well so another one i would be dubious about however that could have been down to the jockey who was riding at the time, rolling aces should be there or thereabouts, Whatafriend will be another watching brief after a long layoff however does run well fresh if your there a paddock pick on him may be an option, Nacarat seems a tasty e/w option back at a favoured track / going / weight e,t,c won off a mark of 154 and is a similar mark at 155 today, Roberto Goldbacks last 3 runs can be discounted never raced over course will be an interesting one to see especially with (Sorry I know its him again) Hendersons yard doing so well along with being at a decent mark. Duke Of Lucca is another who stands a decent chance if he can go back to some old form although i'm not convinced by his last run after a long lay off, a few others could have a case made for them yet my vote stays with Roberto and Nacarat.

E/W

Roberto Goldback

Nacarat

Newcastle 2.20

So we head to the first of two races at Newcastle and I've spotted my selection right away a horse I chose during the week which for whatever reason became a N/R runs today Lady Bluesky I'm hoping can get Robbie beat on softer ground.

E/W

Lady Bluesky

Newcastle 2.55

Then we head to the last of thodays races with 14 runners for 4 miles 1f a race to take note of possible grand national winner runners of a stamina jumping machine is what you need here!!

so watch who leaps those fences & makes it to the end ;) we have some all time greats competing here along with a fair few from my notebook, Mortimers Cross, Rhum, Our Island to name a few 

I've whittled out those that ran out of steam lto and weakened so may well struggle here, those loeft to ponder on some have never tried this distance so will be a risk if betting on, one of those will be Monsieur Cadoux who ran very well over 28f on soft ground in a class 2 and looked like he could carry on going for a fair while currently around 14's a small e/w may pay off!!  Captain americo came a respectable 2nd during a class 2 at Kelso over 32f on soft ground with Hughes riding again today looks very tasty at 7/1, Master overseer tends to be one who pulls up when i select him so steering clear today although would not advise anyone not to back him e/w as he has a decent chance, Vaugh & Costello have a decent strike rate in these types of races here so i'd be happy to give Our Island a chance who may have found the going a little too heavy LTO

E/W

Monsieur Cadou

Captain Americo

Our Island